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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.

Broadcom: The artificial intelligence semiconductor business will surpass other businesses.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)Suspected of misleading investors and being accused of bundling sales, NVIDIA is frequently involved in anti-monopoly investigations around the world. After China filed an anti-monopoly investigation against NVIDIA a few days ago, on the 12th, this artificial intelligence chip manufacturing giant was once again involved in the judicial turmoil. The US Supreme Court allowed investors to file a class action lawsuit against chipmaker NVIDIA, and rejected NVIDIA's appeal. This is the latest judicial dispute that NVIDIA has fallen into since the French, European Union and China launched an "anti-monopoly investigation" against NVIDIA.

The Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 30 people. The reporter of the General Station learned on the evening of 12th local time that the death toll from the Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has risen to 30.Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.Li Tie's case was pronounced in the first instance today. The Procuratorate of Xianning City, Hubei Province accused Li Tie of five crimes, including bribery, bribery by the unit, bribery by non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. It is understood that today, the court will make a first-instance judgment on this case. At present, the police car escorting Li Tie has entered the Xianning Intermediate People's Court. (CCTV News)